It has been hard this past week, of tariffs applied worldwide on April 2 to tariffs suspended except for China on April 9, to avoid reflecting on how much trouble could have been avoided if economists, instead of talking about countries' trade surpluses and trade deficits, had devised different words -- say, "buyer-dominant" countries and "seller-dominant" countries.
— History suggested Democrats would be favored to flip the House in 2026 as soon as Donald Trump clinched the presidency in 2024.
— Little that’s happened over the last several months calls into question that initial, gut-level assessment. Democrats should flip the House next year, and we favor them to do so. Republicans do have a couple of factors working in their favor, though, that could help them as they seek to defy history.
— Our initial House ratings reflect a small House map, with Democrats narrowly ahead 209-207 in the seats that at least lean to one party or the other, with 19 Toss-ups.
President Donald Trump has predicted that his tariffs could raise as much as $6 trillion over the next decade in federal tax collections. These include up to 104% tariffs on China, plus the combination of reciprocal tariffs -- we charge them whatever they charge us. Also, don't forget the protectionist tariffs on steel, aluminum, autos, lumber, etc.
If there's one thing supporters and opponents of President Donald Trump's tariffs should agree on, it's the need to unchain prosperity at home while international trade is in flux.
Is President Donald Trump bent on political self-harm? It often seems that way. His overall job approval rating still hovers within a point or two of the 50% popular vote he received last November. But he is losing support on the economy and inflation, the No. 1 issue last year, while his overwhelming success in reducing illegal immigration has reduced the salience of what was the No. 2 issue.
President Donald Trump is 75 days into his second term, not yet three months. Many companies place new hires on probationary status for their first three months, during which a review is conducted to ensure that both the employee and employer are satisfied and ready to continue their working relationship.
If you haven't watched the Bret Baier interviews on Fox News with Elon Musk and the other executives who have given their time and expertise to exposing the rampant fraud and inefficiency of our federal government, I urge you to do so.
Elections are supposed to be decided at the ballot box, not in the courtroom -- unless you're French, or, in this country, a liberal.
"Imagine boarding a train in the center of a city," former President Barack Obama rhapsodized in April 2009. "No racing to an airport and across a terminal, no delays, no sitting on the tarmac, no lost luggage, no taking off your shoes. Imagine whisking through towns at speeds over 100 miles an hour, walking only a few steps to public transportation, and ending up just blocks from your destination."
President Donald Trump has promised to create millions of new high-paying jobs. One easy first step to doing that is to repeal Biden regulations on America's 4 million business partnerships (sometimes known as S corporations) that are prolific job creators. The latest estimates find 10 million Americans employed by these business partnerships, with $800 billion paid in worker salaries and benefits.
President Donald Trump is nothing if not strong-willed, and he's the leader of the mightiest nation on Earth -- but there's one power even Trump can't afford to discount.
Now they tell us.
Notes on the State of Politics: New Hampshire Senate and Change in Virginia
President Donald Trump is deporting immigrants -- 11,000 last month.
For decades, the United States has led the world in pharmaceutical innovation -- developing drugs that combat cancer, heart disease, AIDS, diabetes and other killer diseases. One recent study found that "in health-sciences output in the Nature Index, the United States' Share is almost 8,500, higher than the next 10 leading countries combined."
Chuck Schumer is running scared from his own party.
