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June 28, 2012

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 47%, Carmona (D) 31%

Republican front-runner Jeff Flake continues to hold a double-digit lead over Democrat Richard Carmona in the race to fill Arizona's soon-to-be-vacant U.S. Senate seat.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Arizona finds Flake, a U.S. congressman, earning 47% of the vote, while Carmona receives 31% support. Five percent (5%) prefers some other candidate in the race, but a sizable 17% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Arizona survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 27, 2012

27% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, June 24.

That's down three points from from 30% the week before and the lowest finding since early April.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 18-24, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

June 27, 2012

Arizona: Romney 54%, Obama 41%

Mitt Romney's support is up in Arizona following the U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning several provisions of the state's law cracking down on illegal immigration and the Obama administration's announcement that it will not process additional illegals arrested there. 

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Arizona shows Romney with 54% support to President Obama's 41%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Arizona survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 27, 2012

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 49%, Dalton (D) 35%

Republican hopeful Pat McCrory now posts a double-digit lead over Democrat Walter Dalton in the race to be North Carolina’s next governor.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters shows McCrory earning 49% support to Dalton’s 35%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, while a sizable 12% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on June 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

June 27, 2012

Gap Narrows in North Carolina Governor Race

The gap has narrowed between Republican hopeful Pat McCrory and Democrat Walter Dalton in the race to be North Carolina’s next governor.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds McCrory leading Dalton by five points, 46% to 41%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while a sizable 10% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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June 26, 2012

North Carolina: Romney 47%, Obama 44%

Mitt Romney continues to hold a small lead over President Obama in the key swing state of North Carolina. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State finds Romney earning 47% support to Obama’s 44%.  Three percent (3%) like some other candidate in the race, while six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on June 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

June 25, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 44%, Democrats 39%

Republicans lead Democrats by five points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, June 24.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 39% would choose the Democrat instead. Republicans led by seven points the week before, 45% to 38%.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from June 18-24, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 25, 2012

54% Still Favor Repeal of Obama’s Health Care Law

With the U.S. Supreme Court poised to decide the fate of President Obama’s national health care law, most voters still would like to see the law repealed. It’s indicative of how steady support for repeal has been that this week’s finding is identical to how voters felt in the first survey after the law’s passage by Congress in March 2010.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care bill, while 39% are at least somewhat opposed. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal and 28% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on June 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

June 23, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending June 23, 2012

Next week promises to be a big one. The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to rule on the constitutionality of President Obama’s national health care law and Arizona’s law cracking down on illegal immigrants. If voters had their way, the health care law would be overturned and the state law upheld, but whatever the high court rules, expect political fireworks.

Voter opinions of the Supreme Court usually change little, but those ratings jumped earlier this year when questions by the justices at a court hearing suggested they might overturn the health care law.  Right now, just over one-third (36%) have a positive view of the Supreme Court. We’ll be checking those favorables again after the court hands down its decisions.

June 22, 2012

Race for New Hampshire Governor Is Wide Open

The race to be New Hampshire’s next governor has no clear favorite at this early stage.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds the top Republican hopefuls – attorney Ovide Lamontagne and former State Representative Kevin Smith – running neck-and-neck with former Democratic State Senator Jackie Cilley and only slightly ahead of another Democratic hopeful, ex-state Senator Maggie Hassan.

But 20% to 25% of voters in the state like some other candidate or are undecided in every case. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 21, 2012

37% Say America's Best Days Are in the Future

Americans remain more pessimistic than optimistic about the nation's future.

A plurality (45%) of Likely U.S Voters say America’s best days are in the past, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Thirty-seven percent (37%) still believe the best days are in the future.  Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on June 19-20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

June 21, 2012

New Hampshire: Obama 48%, Romney 43%

President Obama holds a five-point lead over Mitt Romney in Rasmussen Reports’ first Election 2012 survey of the key state of New Hampshire.

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Granite State finds the president with 48% support, while Romney earns 43% of the vote. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This New Hampshire survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 20, 2012

30% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty percent (30%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, June 17.

That's up from 29% the week before.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 11-17, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

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June 20, 2012

Montana: Romney 51%, Obama 42%

Montana remains in the Romney column again this month.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 20, 2012

Montana: Romney 51%, Obama 42%

Montana remains in the Romney column again this month.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds likely Republican nominee Mitt Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) like another candidate in the race, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 19, 2012

Montana Senate: Rehberg (R) 49%, Tester (D) 47%

Republican Congressman Denny Rehberg remains slightly ahead of Democratic incumbent Jon Tester in Montana’s U.S. Senate race. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Rehberg with 49% support to 47% for Tester. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while another two percent (2%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on June 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 18, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 45%, Democrats 38%

Republicans lead Democrats by seven points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, June 17.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Democrat instead. Republicans led by six points the week before, 45% to 39%, and seven points 44% to 37%, the week before that.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from June 11-17, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 18, 2012

36% Give U.S. Supreme Court Positive Ratings on Job Performance

Just over one-third of voters continue to have a positive view of the U.S. Supreme Court which is expected to rule any day now on the constitutionality of President Obama's national health care law.  

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 36% of Likely U.S. Voters rate the Supreme Court’s performance as good or excellent.  Seventeen percent (17%) say the high court is doing a poor job.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

This national survey of 1,000 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on June 13-14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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June 18, 2012

Michigan Senate: Stabenow Leads Top GOP Challengers

Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow earns 48% support against two of her likeliest Republican challengers in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at her reelection bid in Michigan.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows former Congressman Peter Hoekstra trailing by nine points, drawing 39% of the vote against the incumbent. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on June 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

June 16, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending June 15, 2012

When is bad news not bad news? Or at least not as shocking as it sounds? This week, it was when the government announced that household net worth fell 40% between 2007 and 2010, but most Americans already knew that because they’ve been living it every day.

All Rasmussen Reports major economic indicators – consumer and investor confidence, housing, personal finances, employment, you name it – plunged in recent years and are still far from full recovery as Scott Rasmussen notes in his latest syndicated newspaper column. “Consumers rate their personal finances the same as they did on the day President Obama was inaugurated,” he explains. “If that doesn't improve by November, there's likely to be a new president in January.”

On Friday, the Rasmussen Consumer Index which measures daily consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in three-and-a-half months. Just 23% of consumers say their personal finances are improving, while nearly half (49%) say they are getting worse. Investors don’t feel much better.