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Partisan Identification: 37.4% Democrat 32.5% Republican
Sunday, December 02, 2007
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During the month of November, 37.4% of Americans considered themselves to be Democrats, 32.5% said they were Republicans, and 30.2% were not affiliated with either major party. Those figures are virtually identical to both the October and the September results (see history from January 2004 to present). These results are based upon tracking surveys of 15,000 adults per month. The margin of sampling error is less than one percentage point, with a 95% level of confidence. Please keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not Likely Voters. So far this year, the number of Democrats has ranged from a low of 35.9% in July to a high of 37.8% in February (see history). For Republicans, the bleakest month was May when just 30.8% of all adults identified with the GOP. Their best month was October when 32.7% of American adults considered themselves Republican. The gap between the parties now shows a 4.9 percentage point advantage for the Democrats. That’s the fifth straight month the gap favored Democrats by a margin between 4.5 and 4.9 percentage points. A year ago at this time, the Democrats had a 6.1 percentage point advantage as they peaked to gain control of Congress in Election 2006. Three years ago, in the month that President Bush was re-elected, the Democrats’ advantage was just 1.6 percentage points. The advantage currently enjoyed by Democrats is larger than in any month from January 2004 through July 2006. Democrats continue to have a significant advantage on ten key issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports. Nancy Pelosi's Party also holds a solid lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot. Rasmussen Reports provides a daily Presidential Tracking Poll and maintains a database of key stats for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. TOP STORIESElectoral College: Democrats 210 Republicans 165 Leaners 145 Toss-Up 18 What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls Congressional Approval Falls to Single Digits for First Time Ever Obama Leads Bush by Twenty, But Clinton Does Better Against McCain Bush Job Approval Hovers Near All-Time Low 48% Agree With Obama That Iraq is Not “Central Front” in War on Terror Democrats Trusted More Than GOP on Seven of Ten Key Issues Voters Reject Obama's call for Bilingualism Democrats Lead by Ten in Generic Congressional Ballot Advertisement
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