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Florida Senate: Nelson by 17
Nelson (D) 54%; Harris (R) 37%
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Though his lead has slipped a few points over the past month, incumbent Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson still enjoys a comfortable lead over Republican challenger Katherine Harris. Nelson now leads Harris 54% to 37% (see crosstabs). His lead was 23 in the previous poll.

While Harris is in trouble, the state’s Governor’s race is leaning solidly in the Republican direction.

Harris emerged successfully from a four-way primary on September 5 with 49.4% of the vote to take her party’s nomination.

Fifty-five percent (55%) of voters view Nelson favorably—25% view him very favorably. Harris’ numbers are weighted at the other end of the spectrum: 53% have an unfavorable view of her including 39% in the “very unfavorable” category.

Nelson maintains another distinct advantage over Harris: fundraising. The most recent financial disclosure statements show Nelson’s campaign sitting on approximately $12 million as the campaign enters crunch time. Harris’ campaign has just $2.2 million on hand.

When asked to identify the issues of greatest importance to them, Florida’s voters say national security (25%), the economy (23%) and the war in Iraq (20%.)

Regarding the war in Iraq, Florida voters are evenly divided as to whether the war is part of the overall war on terror or a distraction from it.

Voters place their trust with Republicans when it comes to matters concerning national security (49%), immigration (42%) and taxes (45%.) Democrats are trusted more than Republicans when it comes to Iraq (49%) and the economy (47%.)

Crosstabs are available for Premium Members only.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 2, 2006

Election 2006: Florida Senate

Bill Nelson (D)

54%

Katherine Harris (R)

37%

Election 2006: Florida Senate
Three-Poll Rolling Average

Surveys

Nelson

Harris

Aug-Sep-Oct

56%

35%

Jul-Aug-Sep

58%

33%

May-Jul-Aug

59%

33%

Apr-May-Jul

59%

31%

Mar-Apr-May

57%

31%

Feb-Mar-Apr

54%

34%

Jan-Feb-Mar

53%

35%

Election 2006: Florida Senate

Date

Nelson

Harris

Oct 2

54%

37%

Sep 19

56%

33%

Aug 28

57%

34%

July 25

61%

33%

May 15

60%

33%

Apr 10

57%

27%

Mar 6

55%

34%

Feb 6

49%

40%

Jan 3

54%

31%

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