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New Jersey: Kerry 51% Bush 38%
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New Jersey remains likely to cast its Electoral Votes for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards this November.

The latest Rasmussen Reports New Jersey survey finds Senator Kerry with a thirteen point lead over President Bush, 51% to 38%. New Jersey remains in the "Likely Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections.

Four years ago, Bush lost the Garden State to Al Gore by sixteen points, 56% to 40%. Last month, Kerry led Bush by ten point. The month before, Kerry led by a dozen points.

Kerry attracts 79% of New Jersey Democrats while Bush earns the vote from 72% of the state's Republicans. Voters not affiliated with either major party favor Kerry by a 46% to 39% margin.

Forty-five percent (45%) of New Jersey voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's up a point from a month ago, but still well below his national Job Approval rating.

Seventy-four percent (74%) of New Jersey Republicans give the President their approval along with 44% of unaffiliated voters and just 22% of Democrats.

Data for New Jersey will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
July 1-31, 2004

New Jersey 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

38%

Kerry

51%

Other

4%

Not Sure

6%

RasmussenReports.com

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