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Florida: Kerry 47% Bush 45%
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Florida, the decisive state in Election 2000 us a toss-up for Election 2004.

The latest Rasmussen Reports Florida survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with 47% of the vote to President George W. Bush's 45%. A month ago, Kerry held a 48% to 43% advantage. Two months ago, the candidates were tied in Florida with both Bush and Kerry attracting 46% of the vote.

A month ago, we moved Florida to "Leans Kerry" category in our Electoral College projections. Then, a mid-month update provided to Premium Members showed the race tightening so we moved Florida back to "Toss-Up" status where it remains today.

In Florida, the polls began shifting back to the Toss-Up status shortly after Edwards was announced as the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate.

Kerry attracts his highest level of support from Floridians under 30. Bush does best among 30-somethings.

Fifty percent (50%) of Florida voters Approve of the way President Bush is performing his job. That's unchanged from a month ago... and close to his national Job Approval rating.

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Florida men give the President their approval along with just 47% of women.

Data for Florida will be updated again early next month.

Rasmussen Reports is an independent public opinion research firm that provides daily updates on the Presidential election and the nation's economic confidence.

In August, we have released state election polls for Washington, Maine, Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Oregon, New Jersey, Arkansas, New Mexico, California, Missouri, North Carolina, Virginia, Iowa, Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota.

Last month, we also issued state election polls for Alabama, Maryland, New York, Oklahoma, and South Carolina.. These states will be updated in the next few days. Polling data from additional states will also be released.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.

The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters
July 1-31, 2004

Florida 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush

45%

Kerry

47%

Other

4%

Not Sure

4%

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