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New Mexico Governor and Senate: Incumbents in Control
Richardson and Bingaman Maintain Firm Double-Digit Leads
Monday, September 18, 2006
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New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson is poised to cruise to a second term according to the most recent Rasmussen Reports election survey. Richardson leads his Republican challenger, John Dendahl, 61% to 26% (see crosstabs). Since becoming his party’s official candidate after J.R. Damron dropped out of the race, Dendahl hasn’t gained much ground. Twenty-one percent (21%) of voters surveyed say they aren’t sure what they think of him; that number was 23% at the end of June. Thirty-eight percent (38%) view him favorably and 42% view him unfavorably, both up one point since the last survey. On the question of the candidates’ political ideology, a plurality (49%) views Richardson as moderate. When asked about Dendahl, the greatest number of responses (33%) falls in the “not sure” category. Dendahl’s had a steep uphill battle against a very popular incumbent. Sixty-seven percent (67%) have favorable opinions of the governor, with 37% reporting “very favorable” opinions. Moreover, nearly one-third of voters (30%) say they “strongly approve” of Richardson’s performance as governor. Just 14% strongly disapprove. A strong showing by Richardson in November likely may bolster his standing as a viable challenger for the 2008 Democratic presidential nomination. Switching to the Senate, incumbent Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D) is maintaining a comfortable lead over Republican challenger Allen McCulloch, 56% to 32% (see crosstabs). Thirty-six percent (36%) of those surveyed say they have “very favorable” opinions of Bingaman; only 9% say they same of McCulloch. The candidates are a little more evenly matched at the other end of the spectrum (13% very unfavorable for Bingaman versus 10% for McCulloch.) However, 31% still aren’t sure what they think of McCulloch—only a five-point decrease since the end of June. Voters are nearly evenly divided when questioned on matters of trust relating to Iraq and national security: 48% trust Democrats in Congress and 45% trust President Bush. The gap widens when the question turns to the economy; 51% trust Congressional Democrats and 37% trust the president. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only. Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge™ Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election. Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
TOP STORIESElectoral College: Obama 255 McCain 163 Voters Think More of Biden Than Palin 47% Say Taxing Top Income Americans is Good for U.S. Economy What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls 55% Expect Obama Victory, Only 15% Believe McCain Will Win Muck, Inc. By Debra J. Saunders Bafflement By Tony Blankley Playing the Race Card By Debra J. Saunders New Rasmussen Reports Partisan Weighting Targets: 39.3% Democrat 33.0% Republican Advertisement
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